Two Beers Deep
Grand Final week. Fremantle v Brisbane, Saturday 26 Sep, 2:30pm at the MCG. Humble Leans: Coin on the Lions. Flag stays Freo.
Humble Leans unchanged: Banker 80%+, Lean 72–80%, Coin under 72%. Zero-fade unless a hard signal. Banker margins anchored at the Squiggle line.
Live AU books on this card. CLV starts here: Saints drifted $1.38→$1.58 (CLV −9, miss). Lions shortened $1.75→$1.35 (CLV +17, hit).
Sydney books still $1.20 (83%) — Sir stays Coin on five suspensions. Port $1.38 kept a coin on Butters / Horne-Francis / Aliir. Hawks $1.12 in the market, 78.6% on Squiggle — Lean, not a banker.
Power: Geelong 3rd quality / 6th ladder. Dogs 11th power / 9th ladder. Estimates only — not betting advice.