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Two Beers Deep 🍺🍺

Sir Tips-a-Lot

ft. Jase Β· AFL 2026 Β· form, ladder, margins & questionable confidence
πŸ”„ Auto-updated
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3Γ— daily + pre-bounce
Two Beers Deepβ€’ not two beers responsible β€’
🍺 The origin story: Sir Tips-a-Lot was knighted at a servo at 1am for correctly picking a draw while asleep. He runs on premium unleaded and mid-strength, and lives permanently in the two-beer window β€” cooked enough to slam a $50 multi on Freo by 45, sober enough to still know Richmond aren't winning the flag (they're not, mate, put the phone down). Each week he inhales the entire ladder through a schooner glass, reads the form like tea leaves at the bottom of a parma, mutters the margins into a pokie, then whispers the tips to Jase β€” who takes full credit down the pub and shouts nobody a beer. His hot streaks are legendary. His cold streaks are also legendary, just for different reasons. Follow his picks, back the other mob at your own peril, and remember the house rule: it's Two Beers Deep, not Two Beers Responsible. He is a machine, not a financial advisor, not a life coach, and legally not allowed within 50m of a TAB. πŸ‰
πŸ‰ This Round
πŸ“Š Ladder
πŸ“ˆ History & Accuracy
πŸ† Finals Predictor
Round
Your tips
0 / 9

How to tip: each game has ONE gold button β€” that's Sir Tips-a-Lot's pick (marked β˜…). Tap it to back him, or tap the faint "Go against" button to take the other team. You only pick one side per game. Each game also lists the signals behind the call β€” πŸ€– 22-model consensus Β· πŸ’° betting market Β· ✈️ interstate travel Β· πŸ›Œ rest-day edge Β· πŸ“Š head-to-head history (last 2 yrs) Β· πŸ‘€ player form & roles Β· 🩹 team news Β· 🌧️ weather. The time-sensitive ones firm up on the daily pre-game refresh. Your picks are saved on this device.

⚑ Auto-tip Sir Tips-a-Lot's picks Clear this round
Current ladder β€” after Round 20 (heading into Rd 21)
#TeamPW-L%PtsForm

▍ Top 6 β€” qualify for finals   ▍ 7th–10th β€” Wildcard Finals

βœ… Verified against the official AFL ladder (afl.com.au / Squiggle standings) β€” after Round 20.

Your accuracy
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Your tipping accuracy
no games graded yet
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Sir Tips-a-Lot's accuracy
tracking from Rd 19
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You vs Sir Tips-a-Lot
head-to-head so far
What the data says
Sir Tips-a-Lot calibration

How his confidence tiers are landing vs target β€” a Banker should hit ~85%, a Lean ~67%, a Coin-flip ~52%. The white line marks the target; green = on/above, amber = running cold. Builds as the season grades.

Tipped vs outcome
RdMatchYour tipSir TipsResultYou

Grades update automatically after each game as results come in on the scheduled refresh.

Projected finish β€” Top 6 & Wildcard

2026 format: the top 6 qualify for finals; teams 7th–10th contest the Wildcard Finals. Projected from current points, percentage, form and run home.

#TeamProj. PtsStatus
Finals series β€” projected

Wildcard Round (7th–10th)

Collingwood def. St Kilda (7 v 10)
Geelong def. W. Bulldogs (8 v 9)

Qualifying Finals (Top 4)

Fremantle def. Brisbane (1 v 4)
Sydney def. Hawthorn (2 v 3)

Elimination Finals

Adelaide def. Collingwood (5 v WC)
Melbourne def. Geelong (6 v WC)

Format

Top 6 go straight into the finals. 7th–10th play off in the Wildcard Round, with the winners joining the finals series.
Premiership prediction
πŸ†
Fremantle β€” 2026 Premiers
Projected Grand Final: Fremantle def. Brisbane by ~14
MCG Β· Sat 26 Sep 2026
Flag market snapshot

Fremantle chase a maiden flag on the back of a league-best 146% and a 17-2 record. Projection shifts each week with results.

Two Beers Deep with Sir Tips-a-Lot (ft. Jase). Tips blend official ladder position, win-loss, percentage, recent form, home-ground advantage, interstate travel, rest days, team news and model consensus. Margins and finals projections are estimates, not guarantees, and not betting advice. 18+. Gambler's Help 1800 858 858.
Sources: afl.com.au (official ladder & injury list), austadiums.com (fixture), ozfootball.com & Squiggle (results, power ratings, 22-model consensus), Sportsbet via afl.com.au (odds).